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Commit ce2ac31e authored by Mark Penney's avatar Mark Penney
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Deleted CovidAlertVaccinationModel/data/canada-network-data/POLYMOD/AALPoisPriors.csv, CovidAlertVaccinationModel/data/canada-network-data/POLYMOD/Duration-priors.py files
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CovidAlertVaccinationModel/data/canada-network-data/POLYMOD/AALPoisPriors.csv deleted 100644 → 0
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15,O,O,home,0.00653121510676935,0.006080357668624411,0.005188338605003396,0.005544927850864068,0.006412614731911308,0.006536980663643201,0.005724093145841693,0.004819787952984139,0.004190327862237522,0.003810988755813858,0.0035961968395344713,0.0034841552794301392,0.003441565530366174,0.0034575921730097534,0.0035393130555084027,0.0037099461015401756,0.004010817050071068,0.004509468515876109,0.005318625108477837,0.006635217420188378,0.008816172497081677,0.012506689279164448,0.018729696473808517,0.028181148638627057,0.037801528162095796,0.039673533960473975,0.0335173725471372,0.026191912761515015,0.020720389792070144,0.017080251535961943,0.01470061708034618,0.013131160416744964,0.012083040715045899,0.011376594283307718,0.010898335680063808,0.010574611532590017,0.010356351104528323,0.010210198108015338,0.010113198048176782,0.010049479980989151,0.010008088715791985,0.009981511022179177,0.009964644526309038,0.009954065185400127,0.009947505146360952,0.009943482659802947,0.009941042760788277,0.009939578231133252,0.009938707994455233,0.009938195897332582,0.00993789735774971,0.009937724877495913,0.009937626087850418,0.00993756997557447,0.009937538359227808,0.00993752068261566,0.009937510873277917,0.009937505468880246,0.009937502512027074,0.009937500905124356,0.00993750003751491,0.009937499572007404,0.009937499323759577,0.009937499192150631,0.009937499122774817,0.009937499086405744,0.009937499067441536,0.009937499057603895,0.009937499052526095,0.009937499049917737,0.00993749904858409,0.009937499047905236,0.009937499047561147,0.009937499047387447,0.00993749904730009,0.00993749904725631,0.009937499047234451,0.009937499047223564,0.009937499047218154,0.009937499047215475,0.00993749904721415,0.009937499047213492,0.009937499047213173,0.009937499047213014,0.009937499047212937,0.009937499047212896,0.00993749904721288,0.009937499047212868,0.009937499047212866,0.009937499047212861,0.009937499047212861,0.009937499047212861,0.009937499047212861,0.009937499047212861,0.009937499047212861
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17,O,O,rest,0.052216333891883446,0.04098345560197238,0.028988597607230784,0.033051989152861595,0.04721913895263862,0.054095619760174476,0.04220851874499575,0.030558322712437212,0.02402162710131033,0.020608164913000136,0.01882146186220746,0.017908434773749374,0.017512748391566624,0.017490012999071564,0.01782392024034913,0.018585504087041432,0.019909732587802462,0.021970970959791152,0.024920206353448073,0.028703230481552773,0.03268181710650293,0.03533381559383407,0.0350163629173102,0.03170786998648613,0.027057683703350075,0.02262893597894859,0.01906874277661031,0.016413834653791908,0.014494260270086321,0.013122185268372258,0.012145551044108076,0.011452197124789296,0.010961660394996756,0.01061639409304638,0.010375027141189043,0.010207653831832694,0.010092611966468545,0.010014250693663074,0.009961339415792069,0.009925899786771983,0.009902331033602102,0.009886750710464442,0.00987650059778831,0.009869781423634772,0.00986538761513412,0.009862518339363838,0.009860645356976892,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0
CovidAlertVaccinationModel/data/canada-network-data/POLYMOD/Duration-priors.py deleted 100644 → 0
View file @ 6094d595
#!/usr/bin/env python3
# -*- coding: utf-8 -*-
"""
Created on 2021-03-11
Uses this POLYMOD duration data to deduce priors on the poisson
random variables controlling individual contact durations
@author: mark
"""
import numpy as np
import pandas as pd
import math
from itertools import product
# Read the cleaned survey as a dataframe
Contact = pd.read_csv("AALContact_data.csv")
# Specify AAL categories
Ages = ['Y', 'M', 'O']
SymAge = [('Y','Y'), ('Y', 'M'), ('Y', 'O'), ('M', 'M'),('M', 'O'), ('O','O')]
Locales = ['home', 'workschool', 'rest']
# define row function for symage
def symage_row(row):
agesrc = row['age_source']
agetar = row['age_target']
for symage in SymAge:
#x, y = symage[0], symage[1]
if symage == (agesrc, agetar) or symage == (agetar, agesrc):
return symage
Contact['symage'] = Contact.apply(symage_row, axis=1)
# Dictionary separating contact data by symage-location
ContAAL = {}
columns = ['part_id', 'cont_id', 'age_source', 'age_target',
'duration_multi', 'frequency_multi']
for symage, loc in list(product(SymAge,Locales)):
x,y,z = symage[0], symage[1], loc
C = Contact[Contact['cnt_'+z] == True][Contact['symage']==symage]
ContAAL[(x,y,z)] = C[columns].copy(deep=True)
# Duration distributions stratified by SymAge-location
DurFreqAAL = {}
for symage, loc in list(product(SymAge,Locales)):
x,y,z = symage[0], symage[1], loc
C = ContAAL[(x,y,z)]
Durlist = [C[C['duration_multi']==i]["duration_multi"].count() for i in range(1,6)]
DurFreqAAL[(x,y,z)] = Durlist/np.sum(Durlist)
# Define error functions for poisson random variables
durcutoff = {'home': 6*16, 'workschool': 6*8, 'rest': 6*8}
def PoisArray(lam, loc):
arr = [math.exp(-lam + k*math.log(lam) - np.sum([math.log(n) for n in range(1,k+1)]) )
for k in range(durcutoff[loc])]
return arr/np.sum(arr)
def PoisBin(lam,loc):
Arr = PoisArray(lam,loc)
out = [Arr[0], Arr[1], np.sum(Arr[2:6]), np.sum(Arr[6:24]), np.sum(Arr[24:])]
return out/np.sum(out)
def PoisErr(lam, label): # label is SymAge-Location
agesrc, agetar, loc = label
err = np.sum((PoisBin(lam, loc) - DurFreqAAL[label])**2)
return err
PoisErr = np.vectorize(PoisErr, excluded=[1])
PoisPrior={}
for symage, loc in list(product(SymAge, Locales)):
AAL = (symage[0],symage[1],loc)
arr = [1/PoisErr(i,AAL) for i in range(1,durcutoff[loc])]
zeropad = [0 for i in range(durcutoff['home'] - durcutoff[loc])]
PoisPrior[AAL] = (arr+zeropad)/np.sum(arr)
# Save them to csv
df = pd.DataFrame(list(PoisPrior.items()), columns=['col1','col2'])
dfkeys = pd.DataFrame([pd.Series(x) for x in df.col1])
dfkeys.columns = ["Age_in", "Age_out", "location"]
dfvals = pd.DataFrame([pd.Series(x) for x in df.col2])
dfout = dfkeys.join(dfvals)
dfout.to_csv("AALPoisPriors.csv")
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